مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Real Sociedad

البداية: 2026-04-26 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.64%2.81السعر العادل
EV -0.925%
الأفضلية -0.333%
Kelly -0.520%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.23%35.79%35.67%39.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.422.622.612.7841.32%38.14%38.31%35.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.42%2.82السعر العادل
EV +8.04%
الأفضلية +2.63%
Kelly +3.92%
النمو +0.315%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.26%35.32%35.43%36.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.662.673.0541.67%37.55%37.52%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.94%3.46السعر العادل
EV +1.29%
الأفضلية +0.369%
Kelly +0.516%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.89%28.89%28.91%30.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.68%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.40%EV -13.76%E -5.68%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV +8.04%E +2.63%K +3.92%G +0.315%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:25
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:29
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -0.819%E -0.293%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-24 01:30
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 35.47%EV -0.925%E -0.333%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.35%EV -1.17%E -0.421%K -0.656%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.18%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.917%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-24 01:40
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -2.71%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.35%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.17%EV -3.92%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.65%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:55
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.06%E -1.13%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.56%EV -3.65%E -1.34%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 22:55
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 36.07%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.40%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.53%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 23:24
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:29
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:39
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Bally Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.36%E -1.62%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:30
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 35.81%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.78%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:40
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.78%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.38%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 01:29
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 35.78%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.38%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 01:25
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.07%E -1.89%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:24
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.99%E -0.725%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:03
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:09
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:05
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.89%EV -6.52%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:04
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.13%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.05%EV -6.84%E -2.60%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:39
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -1.99%E -0.725%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -3.78%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 23:03
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 22:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.20%E -2.75%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 23:00
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.56%E -2.10%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -6.63%E -2.53%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:49
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:55
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:05
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:24
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -11.62%E -4.68%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.48%EV -11.62%E -4.68%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.90%E -3.04%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:30
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.82%EV -8.97%E -3.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:25
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV +1.29%E +0.369%K +0.516%G +0.007%6.2%2026-04-23 21:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.60%E -0.472%K -0.668%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:45
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -3.05%E -0.911%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.34%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:04
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.12%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.67%E -3.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 23:29
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.90%E -4.36%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.45%E -4.58%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -6.27%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -14.99%E -6.24%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.35%EV -16.65%E -5.78%K -8.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 23:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%0.3%2026-04-24 02:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-04-24 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-04-24 01:15
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.85%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.93%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-04-24 01:15