La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo

Inizio: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 54.39%1.84quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -3.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.36%54.44%54.39%55.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.741.7959.88%57.68%57.47%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Oviedo (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.87%5.30quota equa
EV +5.65%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.069%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.36%18.82%18.94%20.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.025.005.6022.22%19.91%20.00%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.74%3.74quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%26.74%26.67%28.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.54%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.25%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%EV +5.65%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.069%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 17:44
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.07%EV +1.31%E +0.244%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 17:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 17:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.98%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -0.953%E -0.182%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 17:44
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:44
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:45
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:55
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:43
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 17:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:59
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 16:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 17:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 17:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.50%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:44
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.62%E -5.13%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.86%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 17:55
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -13.22%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -15.10%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-04 17:55