مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo

البداية: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.39%1.84السعر العادل
EV -2.64%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -3.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.36%54.44%54.39%55.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.731.741.7959.88%57.68%57.47%55.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Oviedo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.87%5.30السعر العادل
EV +5.65%
الأفضلية +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
النمو +0.069%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.36%18.82%18.94%20.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.025.005.6022.22%19.91%20.00%17.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.74%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.285%
Kelly -0.390%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%26.74%26.67%28.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.54%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.25%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%EV +5.65%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.069%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 17:44
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.07%EV +1.31%E +0.244%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 17:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 17:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.98%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -0.953%E -0.182%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 17:44
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:44
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:45
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:55
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:43
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 17:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:59
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 16:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 17:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 17:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.50%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:44
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.62%E -5.13%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.86%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 17:55
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -13.22%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -15.10%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 17:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-04 17:55