L’École des cotes

Rayo Vallecano v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Local)

Prévision 54.39%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%54.44%54.39%55.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.741.7959.88%57.68%57.47%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.87%5.30cote équitable
EV +5.65%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.36%18.82%18.94%20.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.025.005.6022.22%19.91%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.390%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%26.74%26.67%28.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.7032.26%28.54%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.25%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%EV +5.65%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.069%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 17:44
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.82%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.07%EV +1.31%E +0.244%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.11%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:50
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.50%EV -2.64%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 17:44
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 17:45
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.78%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.98%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:55
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -0.953%E -0.182%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 17:44
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.66%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -1.05%E -0.285%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:44
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -1.90%E -0.365%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.53%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 17:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 17:44
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:45
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -3.78%E -0.742%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:55
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.36%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:43
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.52%EV -4.73%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 17:49
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.18%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 16:59
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.12%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 17:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.05%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 17:54
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 16:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -11.75%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -5.67%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 17:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -6.61%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -2.39%E -0.655%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.99%E -4.09%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -7.56%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 17:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.45%E -3.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -8.50%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 17:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -3.73%E -2.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 17:24
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -5.36%E -3.08%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -5.06%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:44
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -8.62%E -5.13%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:50
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.86%EV -8.08%E -4.78%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -9.44%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.41%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 17:50
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.73%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 17:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 17:55
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.39%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.08%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -11.33%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.40%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 17:49
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -4.27%E -2.43%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -13.22%E -2.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.74%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -9.17%E -5.49%K -13.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -15.10%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -17.10%E -5.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-04 17:55
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.04%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-04 17:55