La scuola delle quote

Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol

Inizio: 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Finale: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Casa)

Previsione 45.01%2.22quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.860%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.74%45.05%44.99%46.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.88%47.62%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Espanyol (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.26%3.81quota equa
EV +1.10%
Vantaggio +0.285%
Kelly +0.385%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.46%26.28%26.24%27.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.593.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.73%3.48quota equa
EV -2.32%
Vantaggio -0.683%
Kelly -0.967%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.55%28.67%28.77%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.303.303.4034.72%30.32%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.10%E +0.285%K +0.385%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.215%E -0.056%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%EV -2.77%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.86%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.17%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.97%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.28%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:05
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:37
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:29
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:24
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -1.87%E -0.860%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -9.08%E -4.49%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.26%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55