L’École des cotes

Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Score final : Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rayo Vallecano (Local)

Prévision 45.01%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%45.05%44.99%46.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.88%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Espanyol (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.385%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%26.28%26.24%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.73%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -0.967%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.67%28.77%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.4034.72%30.32%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.10%E +0.285%K +0.385%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.215%E -0.056%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%EV -2.77%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.86%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.17%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.97%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.28%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:05
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:37
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:29
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:24
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -1.87%E -0.860%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -9.08%E -4.49%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.26%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55