مدرسة الاحتمالات

Rayo Vallecano v Espanyol

البداية: 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Espanyol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Rayo Vallecano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.01%2.22السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -0.860%
Kelly -1.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.74%45.05%44.99%46.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.092.102.1850.00%47.88%47.62%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Espanyol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.26%3.81السعر العادل
EV +1.10%
الأفضلية +0.285%
Kelly +0.385%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.46%26.28%26.24%27.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.593.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.73%3.48السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -0.683%
Kelly -0.967%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.55%28.67%28.77%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.303.303.4034.72%30.32%30.30%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.37%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.10%E +0.285%K +0.385%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.215%E -0.056%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%EV -2.77%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.53%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.86%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.17%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.97%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 17:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.28%EV -3.67%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.622%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.91%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.00%EV -4.33%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 17:15
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.84%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 10:05
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -3.10%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -2.90%E -0.857%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-23 17:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:50
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.15%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.12%E -1.94%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:09
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 14:18
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:37
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:09
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:29
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:24
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.57%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:49
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -1.87%E -0.860%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:15
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:55
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:04
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -9.08%E -4.49%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 15:09
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.32%E -0.683%K -0.967%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 14:35
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:09
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:29
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.09%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:09
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 14:34
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:55
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.41%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 17:34
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -17.26%E -5.99%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-23 17:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%1.1%2026-04-23 17:55