La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mallorca v Villarreal
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mallorca (Casa)
Previsione 38.70%2.58quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.517%
Kelly -0.850%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.27%38.76%38.63%40.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.36%41.67%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Villarreal (Trasferta)
Previsione 34.10%2.93quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.504%
Kelly -0.771%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.89
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.97%34.15%34.14%36.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.762.762.8938.46%36.18%36.23%34.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.20%3.68quota equa
EV +0.652%
Vantaggio +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.61%27.08%27.23%29.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.69%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -0.708%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.60%EV -1.32%E -0.517%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 34.06%EV -1.46%E -0.504%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%EV -2.88%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.50%EV -2.09%E -0.827%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.06%EV -2.48%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.16%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.64%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.38%EV -5.55%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 11:42 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -5.21%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.65%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |