L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mallorca v Villarreal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mallorca (Local)
Prévision 38.70%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.850%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.27%38.76%38.63%40.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.36%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Villarreal (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.10%2.93cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.504%
Kelly -0.771%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.97%34.15%34.14%36.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.762.8938.46%36.18%36.23%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.652%
Avantage +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%27.08%27.23%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.69%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -0.708%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.60%EV -1.32%E -0.517%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 34.06%EV -1.46%E -0.504%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%EV -2.88%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.50%EV -2.09%E -0.827%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.06%EV -2.48%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.16%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.64%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.38%EV -5.55%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 11:42 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -5.21%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.65%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |