مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mallorca v Villarreal

البداية: 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mallorca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.70%2.58السعر العادل
EV -1.32%
الأفضلية -0.517%
Kelly -0.850%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.27%38.76%38.63%40.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.36%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Villarreal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.10%2.93السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.504%
Kelly -0.771%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.97%34.15%34.14%36.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.762.762.8938.46%36.18%36.23%34.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.20%3.68السعر العادل
EV +0.652%
الأفضلية +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.61%27.08%27.23%29.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.69%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.9%2026-05-10 11:45
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002%2.9%2026-05-10 11:45
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -0.708%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:24
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.60%EV -1.32%E -0.517%K -0.850%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 34.06%EV -1.46%E -0.504%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:45
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:24
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%EV -2.88%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 11:25
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.50%EV -2.09%E -0.827%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.06%EV -2.48%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.16%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 11:45
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:44
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:44
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:44
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.64%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 11:30
LowVig.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 11:44
BetOnline.ag2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 11:45
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 11:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:30
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 11:24
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:43
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:29
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:45
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:29
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.38%EV -5.55%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 11:42
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:45
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:45
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 11:29
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -5.21%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:43
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 11:44
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 11:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 11:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:29
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:29
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:44
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:44
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:44
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:44
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 11:44
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 11:44
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 11:24
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.65%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 11:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-05-10 11:44
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-10 11:45