La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mallorca v Villarreal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mallorca (Local)
Predicción 38.70%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -0.850%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.27%38.76%38.63%40.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.36%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Villarreal (Visitante)
Predicción 34.10%2.93momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.504%
Kelly -0.771%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%34.15%34.14%36.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.762.762.8938.46%36.18%36.23%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.652%
Ventaja +0.176%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%27.08%27.23%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.483.503.7034.72%28.69%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.65%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.09%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.652%E +0.176%K +0.241%G +0.002% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -0.708%E -0.194%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| 1xBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.60%EV -1.32%E -0.517%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 34.06%EV -1.46%E -0.504%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.07%E -0.575%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%EV -2.88%E -0.808%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.50%EV -2.09%E -0.827%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.06%EV -2.48%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -3.16%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.90%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -9.64%E -3.64%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -3.43%E -0.966%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.49%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.90%EV -2.82%E -0.990%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.06%E -3.85%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.38%EV -5.55%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 11:42 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.83%E -4.22%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.79%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -4.03%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -3.84%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.41%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.11%EV -5.21%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.15%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.25%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.19%E -2.12%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.23%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.12%E -2.97%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.51%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 11:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.66%E -4.07%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.23%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 11:43 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -10.99%E -4.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -11.35%E -4.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.65%E -7.52%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.09% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 0.2% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 11:45 |