Школа коэффициентов

Girona v Real Sociedad

Начало: 2026-05-14 18:00 UTC

Итог: Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Girona (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.10%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.85%
Преимущество -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.62%48.06%48.05%49.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.28%51.28%49.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Real Sociedad (Гости)

Прогноз 26.13%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.596%
Преимущество +0.155%
Kelly +0.209%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.14%26.25%26.20%28.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.73%27.78%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.78%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.54%
Преимущество -0.403%
Kelly -0.546%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.83%25.69%25.75%27.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.633.603.8232.26%27.54%27.78%26.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV +0.596%E +0.155%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 17:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -2.57%E -0.680%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 17:50
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.36%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.20%EV -3.06%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -1.54%E -0.403%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 17:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -1.80%E -0.472%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.88%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:26
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:16
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:50
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:48
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 17:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 17:56
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 17:50
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 17:45
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:26
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:25
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -9.10%E -4.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 17:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 17:45
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 47.80%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -13.25%E -3.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 17:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-14 17:24
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-05-14 17:56
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-14 17:36