مدرسة الاحتمالات

Girona v Real Sociedad

البداية: 2026-05-14 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Girona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.10%2.08السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.62%48.06%48.05%49.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.28%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Sociedad (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.13%3.83السعر العادل
EV +0.596%
الأفضلية +0.155%
Kelly +0.209%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.14%26.25%26.20%28.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.73%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.78%3.88السعر العادل
EV -1.54%
الأفضلية -0.403%
Kelly -0.546%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.83%25.69%25.75%27.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.633.603.8232.26%27.54%27.78%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV +0.596%E +0.155%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 17:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -2.57%E -0.680%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 17:50
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.36%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.20%EV -3.06%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -1.54%E -0.403%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 17:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -1.80%E -0.472%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.88%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:26
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:16
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:50
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:48
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 17:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 17:56
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 17:50
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 17:45
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:26
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:25
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -9.10%E -4.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 17:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 17:45
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 47.80%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -13.25%E -3.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 17:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-14 17:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-05-14 17:56
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-14 17:36