La scuola delle quote

Girona v Real Sociedad

Inizio: 2026-05-14 18:00 UTC

Finale: Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Girona (Casa)

Previsione 48.10%2.08quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -2.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.62%48.06%48.05%49.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.28%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.13%3.83quota equa
EV +0.596%
Vantaggio +0.155%
Kelly +0.209%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.14%26.25%26.20%28.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.613.603.8530.30%27.73%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.78%3.88quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.403%
Kelly -0.546%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.83%25.69%25.75%27.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.633.603.8232.26%27.54%27.78%26.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV +0.596%E +0.155%K +0.209%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-14 17:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -5.25%E -2.67%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -0.711%E -0.187%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.91%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.64%EV -2.57%E -0.680%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 17:50
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.36%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.20%EV -3.06%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.44%EV -1.54%E -0.403%K -0.546%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-14 17:45
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.29%EV -3.33%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -1.80%E -0.472%K -0.639%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-14 17:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.88%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.24%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:26
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 17:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:16
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.47%EV -6.69%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:16
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.29%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 17:55
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:50
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -4.63%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:20
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:48
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 17:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 17:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 17:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 17:56
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.17%E -3.72%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 17:50
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-14 17:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 17:45
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -5.73%E -2.92%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 17:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 17:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:26
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 17:25
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 47.90%EV -9.10%E -4.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 17:50
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -9.58%E -5.10%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 17:45
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 47.80%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:36
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -2.85%E -1.41%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.43%EV -13.25%E -3.99%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 17:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -11.98%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.78%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-14 17:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-05-14 17:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-05-14 17:56
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-05-14 17:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-05-14 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-05-14 17:36