Школа коэффициентов

Espanyol v Real Madrid

Начало: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Итог: Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Espanyol (Хозяева)

Прогноз 22.10%4.52справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.08%
Преимущество +1.27%
Kelly +1.60%
Рост +0.097%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.19%22.07%22.13%24.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.324.304.8026.67%23.16%23.26%20.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Real Madrid (Гости)

Прогноз 52.96%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.02%
Преимущество -1.09%
Kelly -2.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.25%52.97%52.95%55.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.791.801.8559.88%55.97%55.56%54.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.94%4.01справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.245%
Преимущество -0.061%
Kelly -0.082%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.68%24.96%24.93%26.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.83%26.67%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV +6.08%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.097%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.73%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:51
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
LowVig.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:50
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:50
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:45
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:51
1xBet4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV +1.22%E +0.266%K +0.340%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.93%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:55
Coolbet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.39%EV +0.333%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.96%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.75%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:46
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:54
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:50
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:54
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.08%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.60%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:51
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:54
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:55
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -11.55%E -6.92%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.70%E -5.36%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.32%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.37%-0.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-03 18:50