مدرسة الاحتمالات

Espanyol v Real Madrid

البداية: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Espanyol (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.10%4.52السعر العادل
EV +6.08%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.60%
النمو +0.097%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.19%22.07%22.13%24.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.324.304.8026.67%23.16%23.26%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.96%1.89السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -2.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.25%52.97%52.95%55.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.791.801.8559.88%55.97%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.94%4.01السعر العادل
EV -0.245%
الأفضلية -0.061%
Kelly -0.082%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.68%24.96%24.93%26.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.83%26.67%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV +6.08%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.097%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.73%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:51
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
LowVig.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:50
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:50
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:45
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:51
1xBet4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV +1.22%E +0.266%K +0.340%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.93%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:55
Coolbet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.39%EV +0.333%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.96%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.75%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:46
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:54
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:50
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:54
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.08%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.60%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:51
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:54
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:55
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -11.55%E -6.92%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.70%E -5.36%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-03 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.32%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.37%-0.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-03 18:50