La scuola delle quote

Espanyol v Real Madrid

Inizio: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Finale: Espanyol 0–2 Real Madrid

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Espanyol (Casa)

Previsione 22.10%4.52quota equa
EV +6.08%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescita +0.097%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.19%22.07%22.13%24.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.324.304.8026.67%23.16%23.26%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.96%1.89quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.25%52.97%52.95%55.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.791.801.8559.88%55.97%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.94%4.01quota equa
EV -0.245%
Vantaggio -0.061%
Kelly -0.082%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.68%24.96%24.93%26.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.733.754.0030.30%26.83%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV +6.08%E +1.27%K +1.60%G +0.097%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 18:51
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.54%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.73%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV +4.97%E +1.05%K +1.33%G +0.066%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:51
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:51
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Bally Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV +3.87%E +0.823%K +1.05%G +0.040%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:50
LowVig.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.65I 21.51%NM 20.78%EV +2.76%E +0.594%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.58%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -2.24%E -0.571%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -8.91%E -5.18%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:50
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:51
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 18:50
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:45
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +1.66%E +0.361%K +0.461%G +0.008%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:51
1xBet4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV +1.22%E +0.266%K +0.340%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.89%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.93%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 18:55
Coolbet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.39%EV +0.333%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.96%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 18:10
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:20
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -0.551%E -0.122%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.75%EV -1.66%E -0.372%K -0.480%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.18%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.07%EV -3.74%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 18:55
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 18:46
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.85%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:54
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.76%E -0.627%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.81%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:51
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -3.87%E -0.889%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 18:50
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -4.31%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -4.97%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:54
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.40%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 18:54
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.08%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.08%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:55
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:50
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.60%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:51
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:54
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.18%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -8.29%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.02%E -1.09%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:50
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 18:50
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.30%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.39%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -7.85%E -4.51%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:55
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -0.245%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 18:55
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:51
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:51
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.32%E -4.18%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 18:55
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.60%E -2.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.38%E -4.84%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:55
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -13.81%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.26%E -3.54%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.74%E -0.702%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -17.13%E -4.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -11.55%E -6.92%K -17.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.70%E -5.36%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.32%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.37%-0.2%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-05-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-05-03 18:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-03 18:50