Школа коэффициентов

Celta Vigo v Sevilla

Начало: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Итог: Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Celta Vigo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.12%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.34%
Преимущество -0.694%
Kelly -1.44%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.78%51.12%51.14%53.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.05%54.05%51.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sevilla (Гости)

Прогноз 20.72%4.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.128%
Преимущество -0.027%
Kelly -0.034%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.69%20.79%20.72%22.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.954.424.504.8225.32%22.61%22.22%20.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.16%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.38%
Преимущество +0.383%
Kelly +0.530%
Рост +0.007%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.82%28.09%28.14%29.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.62%29.41%27.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.58%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -5.10%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.24%EV +0.252%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.64%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:48
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.21%EV -3.13%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.02%EV -11.56%E -6.68%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -5.72%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:48
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.25%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.17%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.67%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -18.15%E -4.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.46%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-05-23 18:30