L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v Sevilla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Score final : Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 51.12%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.78%51.12%51.14%53.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.05%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sevilla (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.72%4.83cote équitable
EV -0.128%
Avantage -0.027%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.69%20.79%20.72%22.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.424.504.8225.32%22.61%22.22%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.16%3.55cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.383%
Kelly +0.530%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.82%28.09%28.14%29.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.62%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.58%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -5.10%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.24%EV +0.252%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.64%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:48
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.21%EV -3.13%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.02%EV -11.56%E -6.68%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -5.72%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:48
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.25%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.17%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.67%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -18.15%E -4.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.46%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-05-23 18:30