A Escola das Odds

Celta Vigo v Sevilla

Início: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Celta Vigo 1–0 Sevilla

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 51.12%1.96odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.694%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.78%51.12%51.14%53.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9357.80%54.05%54.05%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sevilla (Visitante)

Previsão 20.72%4.83odd justa
EV -0.128%
Vantagem -0.027%
Kelly -0.034%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.69%20.79%20.72%22.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.424.504.8225.32%22.61%22.22%20.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.16%3.55odd justa
EV +1.38%
Vantagem +0.383%
Kelly +0.530%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.82%28.09%28.14%29.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.62%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.34%E -0.694%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%EV +1.38%E +0.383%K +0.530%G +0.007%1.8%2026-05-23 18:49
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.58%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -5.10%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.24%EV +0.252%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.83%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -1.44%E -0.411%K -0.575%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.64%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:48
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -2.85%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -3.38%E -1.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.43%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.21%EV -3.13%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.02%EV -11.56%E -6.68%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.16%EV -5.72%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.82%EV -3.69%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 18:48
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.25%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.543%E -0.113%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:39
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -10.90%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.17%EV -0.128%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.67%EV -4.54%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 18:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.12%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 18:39
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.41%EV -3.90%E -2.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -15.05%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.66%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:29
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -2.61%E -0.556%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.28%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:48
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.58%E -0.332%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -10.03%E -5.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.07%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 18:39
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.63%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -18.15%E -4.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -8.48%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -7.99%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -15.52%E -5.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.46%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-05-23 18:30