Школа коэффициентов

Celta Vigo v Real Madrid

Начало: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Celta Vigo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 31.53%3.17справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.47%
Преимущество +0.759%
Kelly +1.10%
Рост +0.027%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.64%31.46%31.60%32.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.06%33.33%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Real Madrid (Гости)

Прогноз 39.29%2.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -0.714%
Kelly -1.19%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.74%39.36%39.27%41.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.372.402.5047.62%42.18%41.67%40.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.19%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.770%
Преимущество -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.47%29.17%29.13%30.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.233.203.4034.72%30.95%31.25%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.405%G +0.004%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.78%E -0.714%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-06 19:50
LowVig.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetOnline.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.92%EV -1.00%E -0.319%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -1.06%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 19:55
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.09%EV -1.32%E -0.420%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.24%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.10%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -12.39%E -5.56%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:25
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.53%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.45%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 19:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:41
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:36
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:11
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:54
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:45
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.95%E -5.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-06 19:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51