Szkoła Kursów

Celta Vigo v Real Madrid

Początek: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Celta Vigo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.53%3.17kurs godziwy
EV +2.47%
Przewaga +0.759%
Kelly +1.10%
Wzrost +0.027%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.64%31.46%31.60%32.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.06%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Real Madrid (Goście)

Prognoza 39.29%2.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.78%
Przewaga -0.714%
Kelly -1.19%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.74%39.36%39.27%41.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.372.402.5047.62%42.18%41.67%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.19%3.43kurs godziwy
EV -0.770%
Przewaga -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.47%29.17%29.13%30.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.233.203.4034.72%30.95%31.25%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.405%G +0.004%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.78%E -0.714%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-06 19:50
LowVig.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetOnline.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.92%EV -1.00%E -0.319%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -1.06%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 19:55
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.09%EV -1.32%E -0.420%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.24%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.10%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -12.39%E -5.56%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:25
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.53%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.45%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 19:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:41
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:36
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:11
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:54
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:45
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.95%E -5.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-06 19:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51