La scuola delle quote

Celta Vigo v Real Madrid

Inizio: 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Celta Vigo (Casa)

Previsione 31.53%3.17quota equa
EV +2.47%
Vantaggio +0.759%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.64%31.46%31.60%32.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.06%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Madrid (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.29%2.55quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.714%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.74%39.36%39.27%41.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.372.402.5047.62%42.18%41.67%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.19%3.43quota equa
EV -0.770%
Vantaggio -0.227%
Kelly -0.321%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.47%29.17%29.13%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.233.203.4034.72%30.95%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.85%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.69%EV +2.47%E +0.759%K +1.10%G +0.027%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.24%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV +0.892%E +0.279%K +0.405%G +0.004%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.78%E -0.714%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-06 19:50
LowVig.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetOnline.ag3.17I 31.55%NM 30.35%EV -0.054%E -0.017%K -0.025%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.94%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -0.685%E -0.217%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -10.43%E -4.57%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:30
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.92%EV -1.00%E -0.319%K -0.467%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.64%EV -1.06%E -0.313%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 19:55
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 31.09%EV -1.32%E -0.420%K -0.618%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.24%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.76%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:45
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.10%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:55
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.03%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.10%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.87%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.26%E -0.729%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.20%EV -12.39%E -5.56%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.55%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:55
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -3.84%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.74%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:25
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -4.93%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.53%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.45%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 19:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:40
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:41
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.92%EV -6.04%E -2.03%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -2.57%E -1.04%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.31%EV -6.89%E -2.91%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:36
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:11
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.69%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.50%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:50
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:54
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.57%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.07%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -0.770%E -0.227%K -0.321%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -2.23%E -0.665%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.71%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.61%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 19:45
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:40
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.53%E -3.07%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-06 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.72%E -4.19%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.95%E -5.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-06 19:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.64%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.21%0.3%2026-03-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%0.6%2026-03-06 19:51