Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 5.30
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celta Vigo (Local): 54.00%; Oviedo (Visit): 19.47%; Draw: 26.53%. For Oviedo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.12%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.03%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.87%EV -0.124%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -1.68%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%EV -0.096%E -0.052%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.17%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -1.72%E -0.943%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -9.47%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -6.35%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 15:58 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 16:03 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.23%EV -15.76%E -10.10%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -20.41%E -6.80%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-12 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 16:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 16:05 |