L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 16:30 UTC

Score final : Celta Vigo 0–3 Oviedo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 54.00%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.096%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.29%53.96%54.12%56.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.751.751.8564.10%57.17%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.47%5.14cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.601%
Kelly +0.741%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.21%19.51%19.42%20.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.884.905.3023.81%20.51%20.41%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.53%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.498%
Kelly -0.683%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.71%26.52%26.46%29.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.46%28.17%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.12%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:01
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:01
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.03%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.87%EV -0.124%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 16:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -1.68%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:01
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:01
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:05
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:00
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:00
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 16:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:05
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%EV -0.096%E -0.052%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.17%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 16:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -1.72%E -0.943%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:01
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 15:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -9.47%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -6.35%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:58
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:01
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:01
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:03
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.23%EV -15.76%E -10.10%K -28.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:01
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -20.41%E -6.80%K -10.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-04-12 16:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-04-12 16:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-12 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-04-12 16:05