مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celta Vigo v Oviedo

البداية: 2026-04-12 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Celta Vigo 0–3 Oviedo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celta Vigo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.00%1.85السعر العادل
EV -0.096%
الأفضلية -0.052%
Kelly -0.113%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.29%53.96%54.12%56.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.751.751.8564.10%57.17%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Oviedo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.47%5.14السعر العادل
EV +3.19%
الأفضلية +0.601%
Kelly +0.741%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.21%19.51%19.42%20.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.884.905.3023.81%20.51%20.41%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.53%3.77السعر العادل
EV -1.84%
الأفضلية -0.498%
Kelly -0.683%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.71%26.52%26.46%29.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.46%28.17%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.12%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.78%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.29%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.93%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 16:01
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:01
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.83%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +3.19%E +0.601%K +0.741%G +0.024%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.96%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 16:01
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.03%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.44%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +1.24%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.69%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.87%EV -0.124%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 16:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:00
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.54%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV -0.708%E -0.139%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:30
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -1.68%E -0.333%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 15:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 16:01
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:01
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 16:01
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 16:05
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 16:00
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 15:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:00
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 16:00
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -9.28%E -5.52%K -13.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -2.65%E -0.531%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 15:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.15%EV -3.63%E -0.733%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 16:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.44%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:05
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.22%EV -0.096%E -0.052%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.17%EV -4.99%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.61%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 16:00
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.25%EV -1.72%E -0.943%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 16:05
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.84%E -0.498%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 16:01
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:01
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -7.66%E -4.48%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 16:01
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 15:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 15:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 16:00
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.50%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -9.47%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -6.35%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:58
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -2.80%E -1.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 16:01
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 15:55
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.43%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.15%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:01
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 16:03
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.23%EV -15.76%E -10.10%K -28.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-28 02:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 16:01
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -8.48%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:01
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.20%E -4.82%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -20.41%E -6.80%K -10.21%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-12 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-04-12 16:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-04-12 16:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.15%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-12 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-04-12 16:01
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.41%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-04-12 16:05