A Escola das Odds

Celta Vigo v Elche CF

Início: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Previsão 55.21%1.81odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -3.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.99%55.22%55.17%56.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.701.701.7662.11%58.66%58.82%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elche CF (Visitante)

Previsão 20.47%4.89odd justa
EV +2.34%
Vantagem +0.468%
Kelly +0.585%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.02%20.49%20.49%21.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.604.605.0025.00%21.74%21.74%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.32%4.11odd justa
EV -0.271%
Vantagem -0.066%
Kelly -0.087%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.55%24.29%24.34%26.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.893.904.1030.30%25.71%25.64%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +2.34%E +0.468%K +0.585%G +0.014%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.295%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 11:01
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -0.524%E -0.108%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.31%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 11:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 11:45
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 11:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.37%EV -3.19%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 11:50
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.31%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.25%EV -2.16%E -0.452%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -3.68%E -0.928%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 06:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 05:45
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 11:25
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 11:01
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:46
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.05%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -4.82%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:37
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 11:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 05:10
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:05
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -8.36%E -5.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -9.46%E -5.77%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:45
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 54.90%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 09:21
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 09:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 09:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -10.01%E -6.14%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 07:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 07:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:01
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -11.12%E -6.90%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:45
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -11.12%E -6.90%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 09:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 07:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:41
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -11.99%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -18.13%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.73%E -5.98%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 10:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-05-03 11:05