مدرسة الاحتمالات

Celta Vigo v Elche CF

البداية: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche CF

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Celta Vigo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.21%1.81السعر العادل
EV -2.83%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -3.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.99%55.22%55.17%56.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.701.701.7662.11%58.66%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elche CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.47%4.89السعر العادل
EV +2.34%
الأفضلية +0.468%
Kelly +0.585%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.02%20.49%20.49%21.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.604.605.0025.00%21.74%21.74%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.32%4.11السعر العادل
EV -0.271%
الأفضلية -0.066%
Kelly -0.087%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.55%24.29%24.34%26.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.893.904.1030.30%25.71%25.64%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +2.34%E +0.468%K +0.585%G +0.014%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.48%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +0.295%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 11:01
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.96%EV -0.524%E -0.108%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.31%EV -2.95%E -0.738%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 11:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.82%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.35%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.83%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-03 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 11:45
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -0.271%E -0.066%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-03 11:45
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.21%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.37%EV -3.19%E -0.801%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 11:50
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.36%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.75%E -0.365%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.31%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.25%EV -2.16%E -0.452%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.44%EV -3.68%E -0.928%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 06:30
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.16%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.28%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -4.41%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-03 06:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -2.83%E -1.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 05:45
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 11:25
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -2.78%E -0.584%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 11:01
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.39%E -1.94%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:45
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 11:46
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -3.80%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.05%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.36%EV -4.82%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:37
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 11:45
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 05:10
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:44
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 11:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:05
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.98%EV -8.36%E -5.03%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 11:00
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -9.46%E -5.77%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.85%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:45
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 54.90%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.87%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.23%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 09:21
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.94%E -2.26%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 20:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 09:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 09:20
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:00
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 11:55
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.91%E -5.40%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 11:55
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -10.01%E -6.14%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.89%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -5.60%E -3.27%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 07:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 07:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.15%E -3.62%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:01
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -11.12%E -6.90%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:45
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.88%EV -11.12%E -6.90%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.94%E -2.26%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 11:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 09:29
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -4.49%E -2.60%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 07:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -11.37%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 11:41
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.25%E -4.32%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -11.99%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -18.13%E -4.53%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -19.73%E -5.98%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 10:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-05-03 11:45
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-05-03 11:05