The School of Odds

Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

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Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.728%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.40%46.52%47.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.862.022.042.1254%50%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

CA Osasuna (Visit)

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.39%25.60%25.45%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.603.9029%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.05%3.57fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.688%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.00%28.04%28.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.273.4832%30%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.41%EV -1.54%E -0.728%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -0.507%E -0.130%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.36%EV -2.68%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-19 05:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -2.94%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.25%EV -2.04%E -0.531%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -4.08%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 05:45
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 23:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.40%E -1.64%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 23:15
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.06%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.79%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 20:35
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -6.63%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.40%E -0.688%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.24%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 14:58
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.24%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 21:04
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.26%E -2.58%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.72%E -2.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 12:59
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.06%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 20:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.06%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.06%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 11:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 23:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 16:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 11:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.26%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 23:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.26%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.05%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.26%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.05%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.04%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:04
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 06:10
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.05%E -4.06%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.06%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 08:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 20:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:03
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:35
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -9.90%E -5.10%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.99%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.85%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 08:05
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.83%E -5.64%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.95%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -11.09%E -3.50%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 08:03
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -13.15%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -11.99%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-22 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -13.62%E -7.32%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%3.4%2026-07-25 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%3.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%8.7%2026-07-25 16:00