The School of OddsCelta Vigo v CA Osasuna
Head to Head
Option 1: Celta Vigo (Local)
Odds
1.8055.56%Min
1.9950.14%Mean
2.0049.88%Median
2.1047.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.77%2.233Min
48.53%2.061Max
47.12%2.122Mean
47.16%2.120Median
47.11%2.123IQM
47.12%2.122Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 47.11%
EV -1.07%Edge -0.509%Kelly -0.973%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: CA Osasuna (Visit)
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.6727.27%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
4.1024.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.02%4.345Min
26.34%3.797Max
24.68%4.051Mean
24.68%4.052Median
24.71%4.046IQM
24.68%4.052Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 24.71%
EV +1.33%Edge +0.324%Kelly +0.429%Growth +0.006%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.2730.59%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.53%3.632Min
28.89%3.462Max
28.20%3.547Mean
28.16%3.551Median
28.18%3.549IQM
28.20%3.546Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.18%
EV -1.38%Edge -0.395%Kelly -0.554%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Celta Vigo (Local) | CA Osasuna (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.39%EV -8.14% E -4.17% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.02%EV +1.33% E +0.324% K +0.429% G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.59%EV -7.02% E -2.13% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.82%EV -1.07% E -0.509% K -0.973% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 25.08%EV -3.12% E -0.796% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 28.09%EV -1.38% E -0.395% K -0.554% G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 12:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75% NM 47.27%EV -5.31% E -2.64% K -5.26% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.36%EV -3.61% E -0.927% K -1.25% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -5.61% E -1.67% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31% NM 46.81%EV -2.48% E -1.20% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91% NM 25.10%EV -4.60% E -1.19% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 28.09%EV -2.79% E -0.810% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 47.04%EV -4.84% E -2.40% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.01%EV -6.09% E -1.60% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.95%EV -4.20% E -1.24% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.29%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.89%EV -6.09% E -1.60% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.82%EV -4.20% E -1.24% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.13%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.14%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.73%EV -4.20% E -1.24% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.13%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.14%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.73%EV -4.20% E -1.24% K -1.75% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.74%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.93%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.33%EV -7.02% E -2.13% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.37%EV -8.14% E -4.17% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.63%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.99%EV -7.02% E -2.13% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.17%EV -8.14% E -4.17% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.53%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.30%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36% NM 47.89%EV -10.02% E -5.25% K -11.01% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.39%EV -7.32% E -1.95% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.72%EV -7.02% E -2.13% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55% NM 47.54%EV -8.61% E -4.44% K -9.16% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.93%EV -8.56% E -2.31% K -3.17% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.53%EV -5.61% E -1.67% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.01%EV -8.14% E -4.17% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.78%EV -8.56% E -2.31% K -3.17% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.21%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.82I 54.95% NM 48.53%EV -14.26% E -7.84% K -17.39% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.87%EV -8.56% E -2.31% K -3.17% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.60%EV -9.84% E -3.07% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.45%EV -3.43% E -1.67% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.88%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.67%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.69%EV -8.14% E -4.17% K -8.56% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.29%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.02%EV -8.43% E -2.59% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05% NM 47.38%EV -12.85% E -6.94% K -15.11% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.35%EV -11.03% E -3.06% K -4.24% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.27%EV -12.65% E -4.08% K -6.03% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 47.13%EV -15.20% E -8.45% K -19.00% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 24.59%EV -14.74% E -4.27% K -6.01% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.28%EV -15.47% E -5.16% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-07-04 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.97% E -4.70% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -12.65% E -4.08% K -6.03% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 44.77%EV -5.78% E -2.89% K -5.78% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.34%EV -15.97% E -4.70% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.89%EV -12.65% E -4.08% K -6.03% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 46.61%EV -15.20% E -8.45% K -19.00% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 25.42%EV -18.44% E -5.59% K -8.02% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 27.97%EV -15.47% E -5.16% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-07-04 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Celta Vigo (Local) | CA Osasuna (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00% | 3.40I 29.41% | 3.40I 29.41% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00% | 3.40I 29.41% | 3.40I 29.41% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% | 3.40I 29.41% | 2.68I 37.31% | 16.7% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |