La escuela de los momios

Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Predicción 46.53%2.15momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.46%46.55%47.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.862.022.042.1253.76%49.61%49.02%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Osasuna (Visitante)

Predicción 25.50%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.551%
Ventaja -0.141%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.39%25.60%25.45%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.58%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.97%3.57momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.761%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%27.95%28.00%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.303.273.4832.26%30.27%30.53%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.41%EV -1.37%E -0.644%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -0.551%E -0.141%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.36%EV -2.93%E -0.844%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-19 05:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.25%EV -2.08%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 05:45
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 20:35
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.65%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 14:58
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 21:04
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.55%E -2.74%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 12:59
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 20:50
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 05:38
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 05:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 11:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 23:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 16:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 11:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 23:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:04
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 06:10
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 08:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 20:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:03
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:35
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 08:05
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.67%E -5.56%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.99%E -2.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -11.32%E -3.57%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 08:03
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -13.00%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-22 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -13.46%E -7.24%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 08:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-26 05:20
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%5.9%2026-07-26 05:25