L’École des cotes

Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna

2026-08-16 19:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celta Vigo (Local)

Prévision 46.53%2.15cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.46%46.55%47.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.022.042.1253.76%49.61%49.02%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CA Osasuna (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.50%3.92cote équitable
EV -0.551%
Avantage -0.141%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.60%25.45%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.633.603.9029.41%27.58%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.97%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.761%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.03%27.95%28.00%28.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.273.4832.26%30.27%30.53%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 46.41%EV -1.37%E -0.644%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -0.551%E -0.141%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.36%EV -2.93%E -0.844%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-19 05:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.40%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.25%EV -2.08%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.35%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 05:45
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:04
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.62%E -2.26%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 20:35
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.65%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.00%EV -6.67%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -2.65%E -0.761%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 14:58
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 21:04
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.24%EV -5.09%E -2.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 16:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.55%E -2.74%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 12:59
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 20:50
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 05:38
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -6.02%E -2.98%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.65%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 05:40
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 11:55
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 23:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 16:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 11:58
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-16 23:30
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 05:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.95%E -3.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.30%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-02 22:19
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:04
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 06:10
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -7.88%E -3.98%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.10%E -0.816%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 08:39
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 20:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:03
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:35
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.28%E -4.76%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.20%E -2.28%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -9.74%E -5.02%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-24 08:05
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -10.67%E -5.56%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.99%E -2.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -11.32%E -3.57%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 08:03
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -13.00%E -6.95%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -11.88%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-22 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.33%EV -13.46%E -7.24%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.15%EV -10.75%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -10.48%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%4.2%2026-07-26 05:20
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%5.9%2026-07-26 05:25