默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Vigo v CA Osasuna

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 19:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Celta Vigo (主队)

预测 46.74%2.14公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.650%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布
45.69%46.77%46.74%48.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.002.002.1153.19%50.05%50.00%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

CA Osasuna (客队)

预测 25.40%3.94公平赔率
EV +4.14%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.055%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.67%25.37%25.42%26.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.704.1028.57%26.78%27.03%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.86%3.59公平赔率
EV +0.288%
优势 +0.080%
Kelly +0.111%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.92%27.86%27.85%28.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.393.403.6030.77%29.52%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Celta Vigo (主队):46.74%;CA Osasuna (客队):25.40%;平局:27.86%。 对于“CA Osasuna (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.94。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.10,对应+4.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.80%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV +4.14%E +1.01%K +1.33%G +0.055%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +0.288%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 09:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +0.288%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +0.288%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 09:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.65%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.532%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%EV +0.288%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 09:25
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.54%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -0.944%E -0.242%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -1.10%E -0.311%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 09:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -0.944%E -0.242%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 19:30
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.66%EV -1.37%E -0.650%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.37%EV -1.45%E -0.374%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.94%E -0.551%K -0.770%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-13 10:53
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.21%E -0.575%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 09:30
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.21%E -0.575%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 09:30
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.21%E -0.575%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.21%E -0.575%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.61%EV -2.77%E -1.33%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.38%EV -2.98%E -0.779%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.02%EV -3.61%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 10:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -3.48%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 08:34
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.48%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.48%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.48%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.917%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 19:35
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -0.986%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 03:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 19:34
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -9.79%E -5.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.75%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 09:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.76%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.07%EV -5.26%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 19:33
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.70%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 03:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.05%EV -5.77%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.70%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-12 03:28
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.60%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 03:40
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.60%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 03:44
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.73%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 16:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 04:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 09:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 09:55
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 09:25
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 09:25
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -10.25%E -5.34%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.02%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 19:34
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.29%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 09:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 06:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.45%E -3.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 05:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 09:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 09:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -12.12%E -6.45%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.56%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-13 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.51%E -3.26%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -9.83%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 21:15
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 11:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-08-13 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-08-13 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-08-13 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-08-13 09:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-13 10:45
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-08-13 10:00