默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CA Osasuna v Atlético Madrid

开赛时间: 2026-05-12 19:30 UTC

最终结果: CA Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CA Osasuna (主队)

预测 36.02%2.78公平赔率
EV +3.02%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.62%
增长率 +0.049%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布
33.92%36.00%36.05%37.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.622.622.8640.00%38.12%38.17%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlético Madrid (客队)

预测 36.35%2.75公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -0.965%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.68

博彩公司预测分布
35.57%36.45%36.31%38.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.572.602.6843.48%38.84%38.46%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.63%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.532%
优势 -0.148%
Kelly -0.205%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.34%27.56%27.64%28.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.21%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:CA Osasuna (主队):36.02%;Atlético Madrid (客队):36.35%;平局:27.63%。 对于“CA Osasuna (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.78。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.86,对应+3.02%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV +3.02%E +1.06%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.02%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.46%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.79%EV -2.02%E -0.743%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.32%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:20
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.74%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 19:15
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:16
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:19
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:20
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:25
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.07%E -2.74%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:15
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -0.532%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:56
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:50
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.40%E -7.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-12 18:53
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-05-12 19:26
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-12 19:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-12 19:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-12 18:45