مدرسة الاحتمالات

CA Osasuna v Atlético Madrid

البداية: 2026-05-12 19:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: CA Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

CA Osasuna (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.02%2.78السعر العادل
EV +3.02%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.049%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.92%36.00%36.05%37.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.622.622.8640.00%38.12%38.17%34.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlético Madrid (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.35%2.75السعر العادل
EV -2.59%
الأفضلية -0.965%
Kelly -1.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.57%36.45%36.31%38.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.572.602.6843.48%38.84%38.46%37.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.63%3.62السعر العادل
EV -0.532%
الأفضلية -0.148%
Kelly -0.205%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.34%27.56%27.64%28.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.21%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV +3.02%E +1.06%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.02%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.46%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.79%EV -2.02%E -0.743%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.32%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:25
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.74%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:24
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 19:15
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:16
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:20
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:26
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.07%E -2.74%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:15
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -0.532%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 19:10
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:56
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:50
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 19:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.40%E -7.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-12 18:53
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-05-12 19:26
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-12 19:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-12 19:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-12 18:45