A Escola das Odds

CA Osasuna v Atlético Madrid

Início: 2026-05-12 19:30 UTC

Final: CA Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Previsão 36.02%2.78odd justa
EV +3.02%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.92%36.00%36.05%37.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.622.622.8640.00%38.12%38.17%34.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlético Madrid (Visitante)

Previsão 36.35%2.75odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -0.965%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.57%36.45%36.31%38.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.572.602.6843.48%38.84%38.46%37.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.63%3.62odd justa
EV -0.532%
Vantagem -0.148%
Kelly -0.205%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.34%27.56%27.64%28.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.21%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV +3.02%E +1.06%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.02%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.46%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.79%EV -2.02%E -0.743%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.32%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:25
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.74%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:24
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 19:15
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:16
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:20
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:26
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.07%E -2.74%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:15
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -0.532%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 19:10
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:56
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:50
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 19:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.40%E -7.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-12 18:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-05-12 19:26
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-12 19:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-12 19:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-12 18:45