L’École des cotes

CA Osasuna v Atlético Madrid

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 19:30 UTC

Score final : CA Osasuna 1–2 Atlético Madrid

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CA Osasuna (Local)

Prévision 36.02%2.78cote équitable
EV +3.02%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.92%36.00%36.05%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.622.622.8640.00%38.12%38.17%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlético Madrid (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.35%2.75cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.57%36.45%36.31%38.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.572.602.6843.48%38.84%38.46%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.532%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.205%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.34%27.56%27.64%28.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.21%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.92%EV +3.02%E +1.06%K +1.62%G +0.049%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -7.67%E -3.02%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.88%EV -3.85%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 19:25
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV +0.139%E +0.050%K +0.078%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 19:25
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.46%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.942%E -0.342%K -0.538%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.79%EV -2.02%E -0.743%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.32%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.89%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-12 19:26
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -4.40%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -1.91%E -0.539%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:05
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -2.74%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 19:25
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.16%EV -2.59%E -0.965%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 19:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:45
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.74%EV -4.18%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:24
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.13%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 19:15
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.88%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.54%E -1.71%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 19:16
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:20
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:05
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -5.26%E -2.00%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 19:06
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 19:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 19:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 19:19
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:26
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 19:25
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:45
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 19:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.34%E -2.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:45
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -7.07%E -2.74%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.57%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.89%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 19:15
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.49%E -2.11%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -0.532%E -0.148%K -0.205%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 19:10
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:56
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 19:05
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.34%EV -8.40%E -3.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:50
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.19%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 19:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.31%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.30%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 18:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.13%E -3.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -9.95%E -3.98%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -16.40%E -7.13%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-12 18:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.05%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-05-12 19:26
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-12 19:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.08%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-05-12 19:25
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-12 18:45