La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Villarreal

Inizio: 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 68.45%1.46quota equa
EV -2.79%
Vantaggio -1.97%
Kelly -6.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.56%68.37%68.54%70.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.60%72.46%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Villarreal (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.52%6.89quota equa
EV +3.50%
Vantaggio +0.490%
Kelly +0.570%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.25%14.62%14.43%16.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.476.507.1318.18%15.46%15.38%14.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.03%5.87quota equa
EV -0.205%
Vantaggio -0.035%
Kelly -0.042%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.19%17.01%17.03%19.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.525.505.8623.09%18.12%18.18%17.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.82%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.61%EV +3.50%E +0.490%K +0.570%G +0.020%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV -0.205%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 15:06
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.56%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.91%EV +0.883%E +0.127%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV -0.375%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.56%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.91%EV +0.883%E +0.127%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV -0.375%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.81%EV +0.157%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.81%EV +0.157%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37%EV -1.29%E -0.190%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.84%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-28 14:56
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:04
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -8.27%E -6.17%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.74%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.51%EV -2.75%E -0.410%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 14:56
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 68.67%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.25%EV -3.47%E -0.522%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.08%EV -5.48%E -0.988%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.70%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.57%EV -4.20%E -0.636%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:56
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.95%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 15:01
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.91%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:06
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:56
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.59%E -5.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.59%E -5.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -9.74%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.98%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -7.10%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.77%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -7.10%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.26%EV -8.55%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.02%EV -3.78%E -0.669%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.72%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -8.55%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.77%EV -7.19%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.60%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -10.00%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.29%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 10:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.33%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 15:04
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.32%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -20.16%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.56%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.61%EV -20.16%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.83%EV -26.26%E -6.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%0.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%0.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.45%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%0.7%2026-02-28 15:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.15%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-02-28 15:06
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.2%2026-02-28 15:05