مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barcelona v Villarreal

البداية: 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barcelona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.45%1.46السعر العادل
EV -2.79%
الأفضلية -1.97%
Kelly -6.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.56%68.37%68.54%70.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.60%72.46%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Villarreal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.52%6.89السعر العادل
EV +3.50%
الأفضلية +0.490%
Kelly +0.570%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.25%14.62%14.43%16.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.476.507.1318.18%15.46%15.38%14.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.03%5.87السعر العادل
EV -0.205%
الأفضلية -0.035%
Kelly -0.042%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.19%17.01%17.03%19.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.525.505.8623.09%18.12%18.18%17.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.82%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.61%EV +3.50%E +0.490%K +0.570%G +0.020%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.56%EV -0.205%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.38%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.88%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.75%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:05
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.89%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.84%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 15:06
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +1.61%E +0.230%K +0.268%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:05
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.56%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.91%EV +0.883%E +0.127%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV -0.375%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.56%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.91%EV +0.883%E +0.127%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.53%EV -0.375%E -0.064%K -0.077%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.81%EV +0.157%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.81%EV +0.157%E +0.023%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.64%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.37%EV -1.29%E -0.190%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.84%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-28 14:56
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.19%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.41%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:04
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -8.27%E -6.17%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -9.74%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -2.02%E -0.299%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.51%EV -2.75%E -0.410%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.05%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-28 14:56
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 68.67%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.25%EV -3.47%E -0.522%K -0.614%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.08%EV -5.48%E -0.988%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.70%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.57%EV -4.20%E -0.636%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.73%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.49%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.86%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 14:56
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.03%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.95%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 15:01
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.91%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV -2.93%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:55
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:05
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 15:06
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:56
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.59%E -5.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 15:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.59%E -5.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.90%E -5.07%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 15:05
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.65%E -0.869%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -9.74%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.98%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -7.10%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:56
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.77%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -7.10%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -8.04%E -1.49%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -2.79%E -1.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.26%EV -8.55%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.02%EV -3.78%E -0.669%K -0.813%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 15:05
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 68.72%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -8.55%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.77%EV -7.19%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.60%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.37%EV -10.00%E -1.61%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -2.08%E -0.361%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.29%EV -1.23%E -0.212%K -0.256%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:56
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 10:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.91%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.05%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -4.63%E -0.827%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.33%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -15.81%E -2.73%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.34%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 15:04
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.32%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -20.16%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -14.85%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.56%EV -8.96%E -6.73%K -27.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.61%EV -20.16%E -3.67%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.83%EV -26.26%E -6.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-28 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%0.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.46%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%0.4%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.45%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%0.7%2026-02-28 15:05
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.15%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%1.1%2026-02-28 15:06
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.36%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%1.2%2026-02-28 15:05