La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Real Betis

Inizio: 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

Finale: Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 71.23%1.40quota equa
EV -1.71%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.66%71.19%71.26%72.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.62%75.19%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Betis (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.45%8.03quota equa
EV +5.86%
Vantaggio +0.689%
Kelly +0.781%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.40%12.45%12.45%14.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.467.508.5015.38%13.40%13.33%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.32%6.13quota equa
EV +2.01%
Vantaggio +0.321%
Kelly +0.382%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.23%16.36%16.30%19.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.695.756.2522.22%17.58%17.39%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +5.86%E +0.689%K +0.781%G +0.046%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -2.89%E -0.486%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.14%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.53%EV +4.36%E +0.521%K +0.591%G +0.026%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.33%EV -3.38%E -0.571%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 19:00
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +2.74%E +0.333%K +0.378%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:46
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.94%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.14%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.92%EV -0.442%E -0.072%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:53
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:54
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:25
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.69%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.15%EV -2.24%E -0.285%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.38%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.45%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.66%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +1.19%E +0.192%K +0.229%G +0.003%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.48%E -0.449%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 19:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 19:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 19:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:30
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 19:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -14.31%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.36%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:25
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:30
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -8.12%E -6.29%K -28.00%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -9.09%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:35
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.71%E -1.34%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:58
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:10
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 70.21%EV -8.83%E -6.90%K -31.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.97%E -8.77%K -43.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.56%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 19:10
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.31%EV -1.71%E -1.24%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.06%EV -14.07%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +1.35%E +0.218%K +0.260%G +0.004%3.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.23%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:11
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%2.1%2026-05-17 19:10