L’École des cotes

Barcelona v Real Betis

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

Score final : Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barcelona (Local)

Prévision 71.23%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.66%71.19%71.26%72.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.62%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Betis (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.45%8.03cote équitable
EV +5.86%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +0.781%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.40%12.45%12.45%14.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.467.508.5015.38%13.40%13.33%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.321%
Kelly +0.382%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%16.36%16.30%19.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.695.756.2522.22%17.58%17.39%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +5.86%E +0.689%K +0.781%G +0.046%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -2.89%E -0.486%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.14%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.53%EV +4.36%E +0.521%K +0.591%G +0.026%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.33%EV -3.38%E -0.571%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 19:00
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +2.74%E +0.333%K +0.378%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:46
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.94%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.14%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.92%EV -0.442%E -0.072%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:53
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:54
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:25
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.69%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.15%EV -2.24%E -0.285%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.38%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.45%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.66%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +1.19%E +0.192%K +0.229%G +0.003%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.48%E -0.449%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 19:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 19:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 19:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:30
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 19:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -14.31%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.36%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:25
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:30
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -8.12%E -6.29%K -28.00%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -9.09%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:35
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.71%E -1.34%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:58
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:10
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 70.21%EV -8.83%E -6.90%K -31.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.97%E -8.77%K -43.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.56%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 19:10
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.31%EV -1.71%E -1.24%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.06%EV -14.07%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +1.35%E +0.218%K +0.260%G +0.004%3.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.23%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:11
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%2.1%2026-05-17 19:10