مدرسة الاحتمالات

Barcelona v Real Betis

البداية: 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Barcelona 3–1 Real Betis

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Barcelona (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.23%1.40السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -4.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.66%71.19%71.26%72.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.62%75.19%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Betis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.45%8.03السعر العادل
EV +5.86%
الأفضلية +0.689%
Kelly +0.781%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.40%12.45%12.45%14.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.467.508.5015.38%13.40%13.33%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.32%6.13السعر العادل
EV +2.01%
الأفضلية +0.321%
Kelly +0.382%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.23%16.36%16.30%19.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.695.756.2522.22%17.58%17.39%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +5.86%E +0.689%K +0.781%G +0.046%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.29%EV -2.89%E -0.486%K -0.584%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.14%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.53%EV +4.36%E +0.521%K +0.591%G +0.026%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.33%EV -3.38%E -0.571%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 19:00
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.94%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.45%EV +3.37%E +0.406%K +0.461%G +0.016%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +2.74%E +0.333%K +0.378%G +0.010%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.08%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:46
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.94%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.14%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.92%EV -0.442%E -0.072%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 19:10
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.06%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +2.01%E +0.321%K +0.382%G +0.008%3.7%2026-05-16 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:53
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:54
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 21:25
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.17%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -0.370%E -0.046%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.69%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.15%EV -2.24%E -0.285%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -3.71%E -0.628%K -0.756%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.38%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.45%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.66%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.11%EV -2.86%E -0.367%K -0.421%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV +1.19%E +0.192%K +0.229%G +0.003%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.48%E -0.449%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -4.56%E -3.40%K -13.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.09%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 18:55
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 19:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 19:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 19:10
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 19:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.07%E -0.346%K -0.415%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:30
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 17:25
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 19:00
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -14.31%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 19:10
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.36%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:25
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -6.60%E -0.880%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 18:30
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 71.07%EV -8.12%E -6.29%K -28.00%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -9.09%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:35
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.71%E -1.34%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 17:25
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV -5.34%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 19:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.15%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 17:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 18:58
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.23%E -1.86%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 19:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:00
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -18.39%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:10
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 70.21%EV -8.83%E -6.90%K -31.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -10.97%E -8.77%K -43.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -12.82%E -1.83%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.56%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 19:10
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.31%EV -1.71%E -1.24%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.06%EV -14.07%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.62%EV +1.35%E +0.218%K +0.260%G +0.004%3.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -15.31%E -2.25%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.60%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.23%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -6.97%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.55%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -15.94%E -2.36%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.06%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -11.87%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.05%E -2.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.97%EV -13.50%E -2.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 19:11
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.15%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%0.5%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:11
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.96%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%0.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%2.1%2026-05-17 19:10