A Escola das Odds

Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal

Início: 2026-04-12 19:00 UTC

Final: Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Previsão 46.68%2.14odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.718%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.67%46.66%46.59%47.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.042.1152.36%49.20%48.90%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Villarreal (Visitante)

Previsão 26.12%3.83odd justa
EV -0.488%
Vantagem -0.128%
Kelly -0.174%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.14%26.16%26.13%31.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.563.553.8136.36%28.12%28.17%26.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.21%3.68odd justa
EV +0.662%
Vantagem +0.179%
Kelly +0.245%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.13%27.18%27.28%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.85%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.662%E +0.179%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.1%2026-04-12 18:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 46.64%EV -1.51%E -0.718%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.03%EV -1.27%E -0.337%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 18:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.49%EV -0.488%E -0.128%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:58
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.58%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.84%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 18:05
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -2.58%E -0.691%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:01
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:24
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 18:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:50
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 18:25
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.06%E -0.548%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 13:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -28.17%E -10.25%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-26 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-04-12 18:01