Die Schule der Quoten

Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-12 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Heim)

Prognose 46.68%2.14faire Quote
EV -1.51%
Vorteil -0.718%
Kelly -1.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.67%46.66%46.59%47.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.032.042.1152.36%49.20%48.90%47.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Villarreal (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.12%3.83faire Quote
EV -0.488%
Vorteil -0.128%
Kelly -0.174%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.14%26.16%26.13%31.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.753.563.553.8136.36%28.12%28.17%26.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.21%3.68faire Quote
EV +0.662%
Vorteil +0.179%
Kelly +0.245%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.13%27.18%27.28%28.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.85%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.662%E +0.179%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.1%2026-04-12 18:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 46.64%EV -1.51%E -0.718%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.03%EV -1.27%E -0.337%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 18:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.49%EV -0.488%E -0.128%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:58
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.58%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.84%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 18:05
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -2.58%E -0.691%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:01
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:24
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 18:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:50
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 18:25
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.06%E -0.548%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 13:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -28.17%E -10.25%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-26 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-04-12 18:01