مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal

البداية: 2026-04-12 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Villarreal

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.68%2.14السعر العادل
EV -1.51%
الأفضلية -0.718%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.67%46.66%46.59%47.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.032.042.1152.36%49.20%48.90%47.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Villarreal (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.12%3.83السعر العادل
EV -0.488%
الأفضلية -0.128%
Kelly -0.174%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.14%26.16%26.13%31.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.563.553.8136.36%28.12%28.17%26.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.21%3.68السعر العادل
EV +0.662%
الأفضلية +0.179%
Kelly +0.245%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.13%27.18%27.28%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.71%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.85%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV +0.662%E +0.179%K +0.245%G +0.002%3.1%2026-04-12 18:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.32%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.02%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.65%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.56%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -0.699%E -0.191%K -0.264%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 18:25
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 46.64%EV -1.51%E -0.718%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 26.03%EV -1.27%E -0.337%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.6%2026-04-12 18:05
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.792%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.49%EV -0.488%E -0.128%K -0.174%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:58
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 18:05
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.42%E -0.963%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.58%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.05%EV -2.84%E -0.763%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.37%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 18:05
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 47.13%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -0.750%E -0.197%K -0.268%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.24%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.03%EV -2.58%E -0.691%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.74%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:01
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.73%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:24
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 18:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.57%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 13:01
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 17:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 08:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 18:24
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 15:30
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 09:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 18:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -7.28%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 08:45
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 18:24
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.58%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 17:50
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.50%EV -8.05%E -4.09%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 18:25
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 07:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -2.06%E -0.548%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 18:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.36%E -0.909%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 08:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -4.67%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 18:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:50
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 17:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.20%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 13:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.59%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -1.98%E -0.943%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -28.17%E -10.25%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-26 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.81%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 18:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-04-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-12 18:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-04-12 18:01