Школа коэффициентов

Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo

Начало: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Итог: Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.02%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.187%
Преимущество -0.081%
Kelly -0.142%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.32

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.55%43.04%43.06%44.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.072.182.202.3248.31%45.88%45.45%43.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Celta Vigo (Гости)

Прогноз 27.48%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.69%
Преимущество +0.457%
Kelly +0.626%
Рост +0.011%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.16%27.47%27.53%29.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.05%29.41%27.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.49%3.39справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.277%
Преимущество +0.082%
Kelly +0.116%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.97%29.49%29.41%31.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.49%31.25%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:26
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -8.36%E -3.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV +0.317%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.50%EV -0.187%E -0.081%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.54%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.97%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.18%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.45%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.32%EV -2.98%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.26%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 05:20
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 05:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 02:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 14:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:26
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:26
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 05:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -10.94%E -5.29%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:26
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.277%E +0.082%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 00:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 05:06
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 07:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40