مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo

البداية: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.02%2.32السعر العادل
EV -0.187%
الأفضلية -0.081%
Kelly -0.142%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.55%43.04%43.06%44.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.182.202.3248.31%45.88%45.45%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Celta Vigo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.48%3.64السعر العادل
EV +1.69%
الأفضلية +0.457%
Kelly +0.626%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.16%27.47%27.53%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.05%29.41%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.49%3.39السعر العادل
EV +0.277%
الأفضلية +0.082%
Kelly +0.116%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.97%29.49%29.41%31.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.49%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:26
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -8.36%E -3.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV +0.317%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.50%EV -0.187%E -0.081%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.54%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.97%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.18%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.45%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.32%EV -2.98%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.26%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 05:20
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 05:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 02:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 14:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:26
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:26
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 05:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -10.94%E -5.29%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:26
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.277%E +0.082%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 00:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 05:06
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 07:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40