L’École des cotes

Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Prévision 43.02%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.187%
Avantage -0.081%
Kelly -0.142%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.55%43.04%43.06%44.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.182.202.3248.31%45.88%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Celta Vigo (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.626%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.16%27.47%27.53%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.05%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.49%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.277%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.49%29.41%31.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.49%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:26
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -8.36%E -3.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV +0.317%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.50%EV -0.187%E -0.081%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.54%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.97%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.18%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.45%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.32%EV -2.98%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.26%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 05:20
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 05:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 02:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 14:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:26
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:26
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 05:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -10.94%E -5.29%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:26
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.277%E +0.082%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 00:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 05:06
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 07:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40