La scuola delle quote

Athletic Bilbao v Celta Vigo

Inizio: 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Finale: Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Casa)

Previsione 43.02%2.32quota equa
EV -0.187%
Vantaggio -0.081%
Kelly -0.142%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.55%43.04%43.06%44.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.182.202.3248.31%45.88%45.45%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celta Vigo (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.48%3.64quota equa
EV +1.69%
Vantaggio +0.457%
Kelly +0.626%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.16%27.47%27.53%29.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.05%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.49%3.39quota equa
EV +0.277%
Vantaggio +0.082%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%29.49%29.41%31.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.183.203.4034.72%31.49%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:26
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV +1.69%E +0.457%K +0.626%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.19%EV +1.42%E +0.384%K +0.526%G +0.007%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.26%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 18:45
BetUS2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -8.36%E -3.93%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.16%EV +0.317%E +0.087%K +0.119%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.02%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.88%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Bally Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.96%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -1.06%E -0.294%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:26
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 42.50%EV -0.187%E -0.081%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.54%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.97%EV -2.97%E -0.902%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.18%EV -1.61%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.39%EV -2.38%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 43.45%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.32%EV -2.98%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.23%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 10:31
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.26%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.93%EV -4.44%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:19
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 05:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 05:20
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 43.09%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.78%E -2.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:26
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -8.79%E -4.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 05:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 02:05
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:56
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 14:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:51
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:26
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -10.51%E -5.05%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.05%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 07:26
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:31
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.63%EV -4.49%E -2.02%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 00:30
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 05:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 05:25
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.33%EV -10.94%E -5.29%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:26
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.277%E +0.082%K +0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.10%E -2.25%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 00:30
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 05:06
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.67%E -0.810%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.55%EV -9.65%E -4.60%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.30%EV -15.06%E -5.23%K -8.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 07:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-05-17 10:40