Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.92
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 4.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Bilbao (Local): 20.38%; Barcelona (Visit): 57.68%; Draw: 21.94%. For Athletic Bilbao (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.249%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV +0.249%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.46%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.80%EV -0.785%E -0.456%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.27%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.87%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.18%E -0.243%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.30%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.83I 20.70%NM 20.04%EV -1.59%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.65%EV -1.92%E -0.430%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.65%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.71%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -23.21%E -6.63%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 19:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.09% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |