A Escola das Odds

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona

Início: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Previsão 20.38%4.91odd justa
EV +0.249%
Vantagem +0.051%
Kelly +0.063%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.46%20.37%20.47%21.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.664.704.9223.81%21.46%21.28%20.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barcelona (Visitante)

Previsão 57.68%1.73odd justa
EV -0.785%
Vantagem -0.456%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.21%57.63%57.59%59.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.77%60.61%58.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.94%4.56odd justa
EV -0.827%
Vantagem -0.183%
Kelly -0.235%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%22.00%21.95%24.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.224.204.5228.57%23.71%23.81%22.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV +0.249%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.46%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:54
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.80%EV -0.785%E -0.456%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 19:20
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.27%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.87%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 19:50
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.18%E -0.243%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.30%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 19:50
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.04%EV -1.59%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.65%EV -1.92%E -0.430%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:54
LowVig.ag4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:19
BetOnline.ag4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:19
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:19
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:55
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:49
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:49
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:54
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:49
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:44
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:45
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:00
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:10
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:44
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:54
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:50
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:44
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.65%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.71%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -23.21%E -6.63%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 19:54
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 19:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-03-07 19:55